Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 506.670196 538.566666 571.695640 608.731374 649.048307 691.683278 740.277923
2025-12-28 462.966188 506.581951 553.680932 608.523938 670.884203 739.885511 822.423267
2026-01-04 434.187452 484.816931 541.011086 608.386924 687.476958 777.994118 890.323791
2026-01-11 414.021862 470.004638 533.556608 611.631997 705.778792 816.690495 958.812751
2026-01-18 395.838497 455.659139 524.875759 611.701181 718.866254 848.361445 1019.105151
2026-01-25 382.976870 446.438082 521.151490 616.682715 737.169159 886.274883 1088.295831
2026-02-01 372.142152 438.788624 518.501376 622.233808 755.715718 924.643161 1159.517575
2026-02-08 363.031983 432.583896 516.999387 628.673975 775.123707 964.462213 1234.374812
2026-02-15 352.333814 423.766995 511.600070 629.517792 786.818713 994.178363 1296.662424
2026-02-22 342.422056 415.411703 506.248032 629.886319 797.494030 1022.561552 1358.219232
2026-03-01 334.464562 409.138922 503.161020 632.857780 811.471549 1055.737317 1428.161641
2026-03-08 325.423547 401.054446 497.284831 631.644802 819.359890 1080.419101 1486.700826
2026-03-15 317.620754 394.306197 492.889694 632.193519 829.621747 1108.855445 1552.557072
2026-03-22 310.021861 387.520041 488.120497 631.895904 838.461141 1135.386141 1616.818910
2026-03-29 302.981854 381.201624 483.684987 631.755645 847.316215 1162.094664 1682.703546
2026-04-05 297.669457 376.993484 481.903379 635.168508 861.322808 1196.982160 1763.712733
2026-04-12 291.495609 371.390416 477.961886 635.241286 870.221222 1224.277332 1833.746862
2026-04-19 287.440093 368.530049 477.672151 640.481296 886.958978 1264.385532 1927.822160
2026-04-26 283.800418 366.101463 477.852485 646.321276 904.726498 1306.843496 2028.740642
2026-05-03 280.647950 364.227292 478.703982 653.097725 924.108057 1352.729227 2138.867093
2026-05-10 275.792511 359.803539 475.742873 653.985692 934.171653 1383.696898 2224.087654
2026-05-17 271.013688 355.342794 472.565646 654.373508 943.351871 1413.496304 2309.103774
2026-05-24 267.275503 352.248380 471.249021 657.500639 956.977130 1451.367081 2412.037457